If you’re reading this then you may know that I was 3-1 last week straight up and 4-0 against the spread. If you did a $20 four team parlay with my picks you won about $400, so congrats. I picking on some of the same teams this week, but it’s the tough part of the schedule for teams.
Jets over the Chargers (-1.5) - The Jets are getting their swagger back and they will paste Philip Rivers and the Chargers coming off the bye week. The Chargers defense has enough holes that will allow Mark Sanchez and the Jets’ offense to have a good day. The Jets defense will create at least three turnovers in this one. Jets by 10.
Buccaneers over the Bears (-0.5) – This is basically a pick ‘em, but with the Bears as favorites the Bucs will win this one by at least a touchdown. Their defense will confuse Jay Cutler and will stymie the Bears running game. I’d also be surprised if Devon Hester gets a return in this one.
Falcons over the Lions (-3.5) – This should be a well-played football without an angry handshake at the end. This will be a high scoring affair as the Falcons defense has been able to stop very little, but the difference in this one will the running game of the Falcons. The Falcons will control the clock to keep their porous defense off the field as well as Megatron and Matt Stafford. This game will not be decided by more than three points either way. Falcons by a field goal.
Texans over the Titans (-3.5) – The Texans are getting no respect from the odds makers this week, but they have a superior team to the Titans. The Texans will get the offense back on track this week, and Wade Phillip’s defense will of enough to confuse the Titans and create trouble for Chris Johnson’s running game. Texans by a touchdown.
BONUS:
Colts over Saints (-13.5) - The Colts are not going to win, but they are going to cover the spread. The Colts still have a good defense and the Saints will not win by two touchdowns. That’s a straight up spread pick.
the falcons over the lions is totally possible. i didn’t want to think the 49ers could beat them last week (and i don’t think they actually did. to lean on the age old sports analogy, the lions beat themselves). though, this week the falcons are a strong team to face. the lions have zero running game with best out for concussions (two this season) and the harrison/brown trade squashed. so, there will be a lot of nobodies running the ball on detroit’s side against the atlanta’s strong run defense. not going to be pretty.
ultimately, the crowd will be the difference. i’m looking forward to see how many false starts can they provide this week.
of course, i’m going to pull for the lions and say there will not be an upset. i believe in miracles. after all, i’m a spartan fan as well and after last night i think i’m a born again catholic. then again, i only believe the state of michigan gets on miracle a weekend, so it may not happen for the lions. all the same….
GO LIONS!!!!!!!!!!!!